Ethics & Economics
Incremental over exponential growth
Ask who is excluded, who is harmed, and who bears the cost inside every growth decision, not in the retrospective after the damage.
Rapid growth creates victims that growth metrics never capture, because the people harmed are usually not the people measured. Uncounted harm returns later as regulatory penalties, churn, and forced fixes under time pressure. Building three harm questions into growth decisions costs far less than repairing collateral damage afterward.
Every board deck pushes toward exponential growth. Incremental over exponential growth is the counterweight: rapid growth creates victims and collateral damage that growth numbers never capture, because the people harmed are usually not the people measured. New-user charts do not show the customers locked into subscriptions they did not want, the vulnerable users targeted by aggressive mechanics, or the people excluded by a launch that skipped accessibility. Mature CX practice puts three questions inside every growth decision: Who is excluded? Who is harmed? Who bears the cost?
Why it matters to the business
Uncounted victims do not stay uncounted. They come back as regulatory penalties, reputational crises, and forced fixes under time pressure. The FTC's settlements with Epic Games ($520 million) and Amazon ($2.5 billion, over its Prime cancellation flow) are growth-tactic bills that arrived years after the tactics shipped.
The churn cost is just as real. PwC found 32% of customers will walk away from a brand they love after one bad experience, and Accenture found 41% of US consumers switched companies over poor personalization and lack of trust, at a cost it estimated near $756 billion a year. Growth that manufactures bad experiences is buying revenue with future churn.
How to use it
- Add the three harm questions to every growth-initiative brief: who is excluded, who is harmed, who bears the cost.
- Require named answers. 'Not applicable' means the analysis was not done, not that no one is affected.
- Pair every growth KPI with a harm metric: complaint rates, involuntary churn, refund volume, regulatory contacts.
- Give the harm review authority to slow a launch, not just to annotate it.
- Re-examine shipped growth tactics quarterly and retire any you would not defend in front of the customers they target.
Where teams get it wrong
Teams run the harm questions as a retrospective. By then the victims exist, the regulator has jurisdiction, and the remediation happens under deadline at a multiple of the prevention cost. Asking who bears the cost after the damage is accounting; asking before is strategy. Choosing incremental over exponential is not timidity. It is what growth looks like when it plans to still be trusted years from now.
Ask your team
- For our biggest current growth initiative, who bears the cost, named by segment?
- Which growth KPIs on our dashboard have a paired harm metric, and which have none?
- Which of our growth tactics would we struggle to defend in front of the customers they target?
The people harmed are usually not the people measured.
Apply this
Reading about incremental over exponential growth is one thing. Seeing where it applies in your journey is the useful part.